Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 12.261148 14.071685 16.007037 18.224038 20.687543 23.335045 26.389416
2025-09-28 9.654638 12.076310 14.844457 18.220863 22.204731 26.731948 32.240513
2025-10-05 8.292600 11.070079 14.407659 18.668931 23.916158 30.115361 37.937610
2025-10-12 7.255644 10.244818 13.993129 18.965299 25.306614 33.037721 43.079940
2025-10-19 6.372486 9.472032 13.511713 19.056173 26.348725 35.485117 47.651039
2025-10-26 5.450734 8.522249 12.678948 18.573885 26.557197 36.817336 50.797400
2025-11-02 4.734318 7.765446 12.014967 18.226870 26.866842 38.229599 54.033719
2025-11-09 4.122631 7.085299 11.382900 17.848951 27.071016 39.462244 57.027139
2025-11-16 3.616256 6.503339 10.831023 17.523306 27.295817 40.691342 60.015483
2025-11-23 3.129646 5.895293 10.181096 16.992891 27.174781 41.407207 62.291572
2025-11-30 2.852478 5.595223 9.969671 17.087471 27.939202 43.359300 66.310405
2025-12-07 2.600113 5.308069 9.750446 17.144932 28.634391 45.218198 70.235656
2025-12-14 2.395060 5.085116 9.620949 17.338286 29.548806 47.437091 74.767082
2025-12-21 2.173815 4.808192 9.378112 17.329914 30.145162 49.202538 78.691390
2025-12-28 2.050824 4.699790 9.408531 17.759849 31.429717 52.014771 84.207235
2026-01-04 1.915590 4.552279 9.357027 18.044314 32.486997 54.509157 89.312787
2026-01-11 1.763577 4.353881 9.197751 18.131543 33.222515 56.527618 93.752879
2026-01-18 1.551345 4.006282 8.738122 17.668627 33.032809 57.106882 96.028207
2026-01-25 1.379126 3.721067 8.368840 17.335603 33.031726 57.963796 98.730404
2026-02-01 1.221967 3.448057 7.998490 16.972974 32.955439 58.686698 101.229779
2026-02-08 1.087011 3.207116 7.669146 16.660551 32.942322 59.497432 103.871734
2026-02-15 0.947094 2.934178 7.250641 16.151763 32.558560 59.686860 105.528695
2026-02-22 0.876725 2.822008 7.152588 16.242478 33.225295 61.599149 109.951805